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Poll: Ontario Salary and Wage Increase Projections for 2027 — Employer Survey Results

September 21, 2026

157 participants

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The ‘Totals‘ shown in the bottom row combine responses across all industry groups. These figures can be viewed as a broad overall indicator of annual increase activity across most industries in Ontario.

Results are shown both including and excluding pay freezes and statistical outliers. The overall average provides a picture of all responses received, while the average excluding freezes and outliers generally provides the cleanest indication of the increase employers are planning for employees receiving an annual adjustment.

The 25th and 75th percentiles have also been included for reference. These show the range within which the middle 50% of reported increases fall and provide additional context beyond the average alone.

To provide a clearer picture of projected annual increases, Automotive Parts & Manufacturing has been reported separately from other manufacturing organizations. This reflects the different market conditions currently affecting the automotive sector and allows readers to make a more meaningful comparison.

The ‘Other Industry’ category represents a cross-section of employers in transportation, logistics and warehousing, wholesale/retail, and various for-profit service industries. Individually, there were not enough responses within these sectors to report them as reliable standalone categories.

Projected Annual Increases for Salaried, Non-Executive Employees

Data CutSample SizeAverage Increases
All Responses
Average Increases
No freezes/Outliers
25th Percentile75th Percentile
Manufacturing (excluding automotive)883.2%3.2%3.0%3.5%
Automotive Parts & Manufacturing222.0%2.6%2.4%2.6%
Other industry 472.5%3.1%3.0%3.2%
Totals1573.0%3.1%3.0%3.5%

Projected Annual Increases for Executives

Data CutSample SizeAverage Increases
All Responses
Average Increases
No freezes/Outliers
25th Percentile75th Percentile
Manufacturing (excluding automotive)863.3%3.3%3.0%3.5%
Automotive Parts & Manufacturing222.0%2.6%2.4%2.7%
Other industry 472.9%3.1%3.0%3.2%
Totals1553.0%3.2%3.0%3.5%

Projected Annual Increases for Hourly-Paid Employees

Data CutSample SizeAverage Increases
All Responses
Average Increases
No freezes/Outliers
25th Percentile75th Percentile
Manufacturing (excluding automotive)883.0%3.1%3.0%3.4%
Automotive Parts & Manufacturing222.1%2.5%2.3%2.6%
Other industry 423.0%3.0%3.0%3.2%
Totals1522.8%3.0%2.9%3.1%